Food & BeverageFast Food
Food & BeverageFast Food

Portion Control

Will the average Fast Food ticket fall this September?

Numerator panel data shows GLP-1 users cutting their grocery spending, and the chains are discounting to defend traffic. Whether the average fast food check falls in September is the appetite question no earnings call answers.

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Select Outcome

Early Pool
Yes—
No—
$
Graduation Progress0%
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$0of $50 to graduate

Activity

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EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      EARLY POOL      

Select Outcome

Early Pool
Yes—
No—
$
Graduation Progress0%
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$0of $50 to graduate

Activity

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MARKET WINDOW

September 1 to 30, compared against August 1 to 31.

DEFINITIONS & SCOPE

ATV is total basket sales during the window divided by total basket transaction count, all channels. The target line is the basket ATV over August.

RESOLUTION METHOD

Yes wins if the September ATV falls below the August line; No wins otherwise. In the event of a tie, all positions are refunded in full.

DATA SOURCE

Powered by verified transaction data from American Spend's oracle. Anonymized, aggregated, and secured. Real, objective, verified proof of spend sourced from a representative sample of consumer spending.

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