MARKET WINDOW
This market measures July 21 through July 26. The line is the Movie Theaters basket's average transaction count across the two prior matching spans, July 7 through July 12 and July 14 through July 19, computed from panel data at listing.
DEFINITIONS & SCOPE
Transaction count covers verified box office and concession purchases across the Movie Theaters basket in national aggregate. The basket includes AMC, Regal, Cinemark, Alamo Drafthouse, and others. For a full list of basket inclusions see the "Merchants" tab.
RESOLUTION METHOD
The market resolves Yes if the week's transaction count exceeds the trailing two-week average and No if it falls below it. An exact tie refunds all positions in full.
DATA SOURCE
Powered by verified transaction data from American Spend's oracle. Anonymized, aggregated, and secured. Real, objective, verified proof of spend sourced from a representative sample of consumer spending.