Wisdom of Crowds

Will Prediction Markets or Sportsbooks grow customers faster in August?

Prediction Markets

53.9¢

Sportsbooks

49.1¢

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Modeled Behavior

Will Claude or ChatGPT grow subscribers faster in August?

Anthropic

52.3¢

OpenAI

47.7¢

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Signal Strength

Will Starlink grow US subscribers in August?

Yes

73.3¢

No

32.1¢

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FORM

Submit a Market

Have a great idea for a market that we haven’t yet launched? Click this card to submit it.

Cabbie Crash

Will Uber or Lyft grow customers faster in August?

Lyft

61.8¢

Uber

38.2¢

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Window or Aisle

Which Airline grows customers fastest in August?

United Airlines38.7¢

JetBlue25¢

Delta Air Lines23.2¢

American Airlines16.8¢

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The Weekend Warrior

Will Home Depot or Lowe's grow customers faster in August?

The Home Depot

56.7¢

Lowe's

43.3¢

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The Reload

Will the average Sportsbook deposit grow 5% or more in August?

Yes

59.6¢

No

40.4¢

Early Pool · 77%$39/$50

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Cost Per Wear

Will Fast Fashion or Premium Apparel grow customers faster in August?

Premium Apparel

73.8¢

Fast Fashion

26.2¢

Early Pool · 49%$24/$50

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Press Play

Which streaming service grows subscribers fastest in August?

Peacock38.3¢

Hulu15.4¢

Netflix11.6¢

Disney+11.6¢

HBO Max11.6¢

Paramount11.6¢

Early Pool · 61%$30/$50

▋▋▎▏▊▍▏▋▍▍▋▎▏▌▍▎▋█▎▍▌▏▏▊▍▏▎▌▎▏▋▌▏▍▍▌▎▍▌▏▏▌▏▎▋▍▎▋▍▊▎▏▊▎▍▌▏▏▉▌▍▍▌▌▏▎▊▎▍▌▎▋█▌▍▍▉▎▎▌▎▌▉▋▎▍▋▍▎▌▎▏▋▏▏▋▏▎▎▋▍▏▌▍▏▋▏▍▉▏▏▋▌▎▎▌▏▎▉▌▎▍▌▎▋█▎▏▌▋▎▍▌▎▎▋▊▎▎▌▍▎▌▏▏▋▎▏▌▎▏▎█▎▍▌▏▏▌▏█▍▏▋▎▉▎▏▌▎█▍▎▌▉▎▋▌▍▍▉▏▋▎▏▌▋▏▎▌▏▏▋▏▏▊▍▎▌▉▎▏▌▍▎█▎▏▎▋▊▌▋▎▎▌█▏▏▋▌▏▊▋▏▎▋▌▏▏▎▊▍▍▉▏▎▋▍▏▋▌▏▌▎▌▎▎▋▏▍█▏▏▌▏▌▏▌▌▍▏▊▌▏▍▋▏▏▉▎▍▋▎▎▋▎▎▌▋▏▏▋▏█▌▎▎▉▏▎▋▎▏▌█▏▍▎▋▍▏▋▎▎▉▍▍▌▋▏▌▏▎▏▋▎▎▎▌▎▎▌▌▎▏▌▌▏▏▋▋▎▎▌▌▎▊▎▎▋▋▎▏▊▍▏▋▍▍▋▎▏▌▍▎▋█▎▍▌▏▏▊▍▏▎▌▎▏▋▌▏▍▍▌▎▍▌▏▏▌▏▎▋▍▎▋▍▊▎▏▊▎▍▌▏▏▉▌▍▍▌▌▏▎▊▎▍▌▎▋█▌▍▍▉▎▎▌▎▌▉▋▎▍▋▍▎▌▎▏▋▏▏▋▏▎▎▋▍▏▌▍▏▋▏▍▉▏▏▋▌▎▎▌▏▎▉▌▎▍▌▎▋█▎▏▌▋▎▍▌▎▎▋▊▎▎▌▍▎▌▏▏▋▎▏▌▎▏▎█▎▍▌▏▏▌▏█▍▏▋▎▉▎▏▌▎█▍▎▌▉▎▋▌▍▍▉▏▋▎▏▌▋▏▎▌▏▏▋▏▏▊▍▎▌▉▎▏▌▍▎█▎▏▎▋▊▌▋▎▎▌█▏▏▋▌▏▊▋▏▎▋▌▏▏▎▊▍▍▉▏▎▋▍▏▋▌▏▌▎▌▎▎▋▏▍█▏▏▌▏▌▏▌▌▍▏▊▌▏▍▋▏▏▉▎▍▋▎▎▋▎▎▌▋▏▏▋▏█▌▎▎▉▏▎▋▎▏▌█▏▍▎▋▍▏▋▎▎▉▍▍▌▋▏▌▏▎▏▋▎▎▎▌▎▎▌▌▎▏▌▌▏▏▋▋▎▎▌▌▎▊▎▎

The Drive-thru Dip

Will Fast Food transactions fall below July's?

No

66.8¢

Yes

33.2¢

Early Pool · 52%$26/$50

▏▋▊▎▋▏▏▊▏▎▌▍▊▏▋▎█▏▎▋▎▏▌▍▌▏▍▋▏▊▎▏▋▍▌▊▍▎▋▋▎▏█▌▎▎▊▌▏▍▋▋▎▎▋▏▋▎▍▉▋▌▏▏▌▎▏▌▏▎▌█▋▎▋▌▍▎▌▏▎▌▏▉▎▎▋▏▎▌▎▍█▏▌▏▎█▌▏▏▋▍▍▉▍▏▌▎▏▌▎▏▊▏▏▌▉▋▋▍▏█▌▎▌▏▏█▌▌▍▎▌▏▊▋▍▍█▍▎▌▎▏▋▏▍█▏▎▌▏▏▋▏▎▌█▍▎▌▏▎▏▌▎▏▋▍▌▏▏▊▋▌▎▏▋▏▍█▏▋▏▏▌▎▍█▏▏▎▋▏█▍▏▏▏▋▍▉▍▎▍▌▌▍▏▊▋▏▏▌▏▊▎▏▏▌▊▏▌▏▎▌▌▎▏▏▌▎▋▊▏▏▌▎▏▎▋▎▎▋▌▊▎▏▌▏▍▋▍▏▋▎▎▌▋▎▏▌▏▌▏▎▌▎▎▌▋▏▍▋▏▍▍▌▎▏▌▍▋▋▏▌▏▏▊▌▏▋▌▍▍▊▎▏▋▎▏▋▎▎▊▍▏▌▏▏▊▍▏▌▎▎▉▏▎▌▎▊▏▎▌▍▍▌▎▍▋▎▋▌▍█▍▍▋▏▋▊▎▋▏▏▊▏▎▌▍▊▏▋▎█▏▎▋▎▏▌▍▌▏▍▋▏▊▎▏▋▍▌▊▍▎▋▋▎▏█▌▎▎▊▌▏▍▋▋▎▎▋▏▋▎▍▉▋▌▏▏▌▎▏▌▏▎▌█▋▎▋▌▍▎▌▏▎▌▏▉▎▎▋▏▎▌▎▍█▏▌▏▎█▌▏▏▋▍▍▉▍▏▌▎▏▌▎▏▊▏▏▌▉▋▋▍▏█▌▎▌▏▏█▌▌▍▎▌▏▊▋▍▍█▍▎▌▎▏▋▏▍█▏▎▌▏▏▋▏▎▌█▍▎▌▏▎▏▌▎▏▋▍▌▏▏▊▋▌▎▏▋▏▍█▏▋▏▏▌▎▍█▏▏▎▋▏█▍▏▏▏▋▍▉▍▎▍▌▌▍▏▊▋▏▏▌▏▊▎▏▏▌▊▏▌▏▎▌▌▎▏▏▌▎▋▊▏▏▌▎▏▎▋▎▎▋▌▊▎▏▌▏▍▋▍▏▋▎▎▌▋▎▏▌▏▌▏▎▌▎▎▌▋▏▍▋▏▍▍▌▎▏▌▍▋▋▏▌▏▏▊▌▏▋▌▍▍▊▎▏▋▎▏▋▎▎▊▍▏▌▏▏▊▍▏▌▎▎▉▏▎▌▎▊▏▎▌▍▍▌▎▍▋▎▋▌▍█▍▍▋

Sweat Equity

Will Gyms or Fitness Classes grow members faster in August?

Fitness Classes

75.2¢

Gyms

24.8¢

Early Pool · 36%$18/$50

▋▏▎▉▌▌▍▎▌▌▏▎▌▏▏▌▎▋▍▏▉▎▎▌▍▎▊▏▏▌▏▋▏▋▏▏▌▋▏▍▌▎▍▌▊▎▎▌▏▏▋▏▏▋▏▏▌▎▍▌▏▊▌▏▏▉▏▏▋▌▏▏▊▍▏▌▍▏▊▍▎▏▊▍▍▋▋▊▏▎▌▍▏▊▌▌▍▌▏▎▌▏▎▋▎▍▌▏▎▌▏▏▌▎▌▏▍▉▋▏▏▊▍▏▌▌▏▍▋▍▎▊▏▏▋▎▎▊▏▌▍▌▎▌▏▌▏▎▊▌▍▎▊▍▏▌▎▏█▎▎█▌▏▏▋▌▏▏▋▍▎▋▍▍▌▍▎▌▎▌▋▍▎▊▎▎▌▎▏▊▌▍▎▏▊▍▏▌▌▏▌▏▎▋▏▎▊▏▍▌▏▏▌▋▍▎▍▎▋▎▍▌▊▋▌▍▍▌▋▏▎█▍▋▏▏▌▎▌▌▏▎▊▋▋▍▏▌▌▎▌█▋▎▎▊▏▌▏▍▋▍▏▏█▏▍▎▏▌▌▏▊▍▋▎▊▎▎▌▍▍▋▏▏▋▏▏▋▏▏▉▏▍▏▍▊▏▎▌▏▎▏▋▏▍▌▍▏▊▏▎▌▉▋▏▏▌▍▊▎▏▌▏▏▌▉▎▍▌▏▎█▏▍▍▌▋▊▋▏▎▉▌▌▍▎▌▌▏▎▌▏▏▌▎▋▍▏▉▎▎▌▍▎▊▏▏▌▏▋▏▋▏▏▌▋▏▍▌▎▍▌▊▎▎▌▏▏▋▏▏▋▏▏▌▎▍▌▏▊▌▏▏▉▏▏▋▌▏▏▊▍▏▌▍▏▊▍▎▏▊▍▍▋▋▊▏▎▌▍▏▊▌▌▍▌▏▎▌▏▎▋▎▍▌▏▎▌▏▏▌▎▌▏▍▉▋▏▏▊▍▏▌▌▏▍▋▍▎▊▏▏▋▎▎▊▏▌▍▌▎▌▏▌▏▎▊▌▍▎▊▍▏▌▎▏█▎▎█▌▏▏▋▌▏▏▋▍▎▋▍▍▌▍▎▌▎▌▋▍▎▊▎▎▌▎▏▊▌▍▎▏▊▍▏▌▌▏▌▏▎▋▏▎▊▏▍▌▏▏▌▋▍▎▍▎▋▎▍▌▊▋▌▍▍▌▋▏▎█▍▋▏▏▌▎▌▌▏▎▊▋▋▍▏▌▌▎▌█▋▎▎▊▏▌▏▍▋▍▏▏█▏▍▎▏▌▌▏▊▍▋▎▊▎▎▌▍▍▋▏▏▋▏▏▋▏▏▉▏▍▏▍▊▏▎▌▏▎▏▋▏▍▌▍▏▊▏▎▌▉▋▏▏▌▍▊▎▏▌▏▏▌▉▎▍▌▏▎█▏▍▍▌▋▊

The Canvas

Which design tool grows customers fastest in August?

Canva56¢

Figma22¢

Adobe22¢

Early Pool · 34%$17/$50

▊▎▎▋▌▉▏▏▋▌▎█▏▎▋▏▍▊▌▏▏▊▍▏▌▌▏▎▌▎▎▌▎▏▊▏▍▌▎▍▌▎▎▌▍▌▋▍▏▋▏▌█▏▎▌▋▎▎▌▍█▎▏▌▍▎▉▏▍▋▏▏▊▌▎▏▌▍▏▌▏▍▉▏▌▎▊▍▏▌▍▍▌▏▉▋▌▏▊▎▏▋▍▏▌▍▎▊▏▎▋▏▏▋▏▍▌▋▊▏▍▌▏▎▋▌▏▎▋▍▏▋▏▋▏▏▌▏▎▋▏▏▊▏▍▌▌▎█▌▌▍▎▌▏▎▋▏▋▏▎▌█▏▋▍▎▋▏█▍▌▏▍▌▍▋▎▍▌▏▌▍▍▏█▏▍▌▏▋▋▊▏▏▋▍▊▎▏▌▎▍▋▏▍▎▌▏▌▊▏▌▎▎▌▋█▎▎▌▋▏▍▊▏▎▌▍▎▌▏▍▋▍▋▏▏▋▎▏▌▎▏▊▋▏▍▋▌▏▌▋▍▏▌▏▊▋▌▏▏▌▏▎▋▌▏▎▋▌▎▏▉▎▏▋▍▋▏▍▋▍▏▊▍▏▋▏▌▌▎▉▌▌▍▏▉▌▏▍▌▏▍█▍▍▏▋▉▋▌▏▋▌▏▏▌▍▏▉▎▍▋▎▎▋▍▎▊▍▍▌▏▏▌▏▌▌▊▎▎▋▌▉▏▏▋▌▎█▏▎▋▏▍▊▌▏▏▊▍▏▌▌▏▎▌▎▎▌▎▏▊▏▍▌▎▍▌▎▎▌▍▌▋▍▏▋▏▌█▏▎▌▋▎▎▌▍█▎▏▌▍▎▉▏▍▋▏▏▊▌▎▏▌▍▏▌▏▍▉▏▌▎▊▍▏▌▍▍▌▏▉▋▌▏▊▎▏▋▍▏▌▍▎▊▏▎▋▏▏▋▏▍▌▋▊▏▍▌▏▎▋▌▏▎▋▍▏▋▏▋▏▏▌▏▎▋▏▏▊▏▍▌▌▎█▌▌▍▎▌▏▎▋▏▋▏▎▌█▏▋▍▎▋▏█▍▌▏▍▌▍▋▎▍▌▏▌▍▍▏█▏▍▌▏▋▋▊▏▏▋▍▊▎▏▌▎▍▋▏▍▎▌▏▌▊▏▌▎▎▌▋█▎▎▌▋▏▍▊▏▎▌▍▎▌▏▍▋▍▋▏▏▋▎▏▌▎▏▊▋▏▍▋▌▏▌▋▍▏▌▏▊▋▌▏▏▌▏▎▋▌▏▎▋▌▎▏▉▎▏▋▍▋▏▍▋▍▏▊▍▏▋▏▌▌▎▉▌▌▍▏▉▌▏▍▌▏▍█▍▍▏▋▉▋▌▏▋▌▏▏▌▍▏▉▎▍▋▎▎▋▍▎▊▍▍▌▏▏▌▏▌▌

FORM

Submit a Market

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Beauty Contest

Will Ulta or Sephora grow customers faster in August?

Ulta Beauty

61.1¢

Sephora

38.9¢

Early Pool · 26%$13/$50

▎▎▊▌▍▋▎▍▌▎▎▌▊▎▋▎▏▎▌▏▎▋▍▍▌▏▋▎▌▋█▍▎▌▏▏▌▉▌▎▋▌▎▉▏▍▋▍▏▌▏▍▊▌▏▎▊▍▍▍█▏▏▌▏▏█▏▎▋▎▏▌▏▍▌▉▏▎▏▉▏▎▋▍▏▊▏▎▌▏▍▌▏▏▌▎▍█▎▏▋▎▏▌▏▎▋▏▎▌▍▍▌▏▎▌▍▍█▍▏▎▍▌▎▍▌▍▍█▏▎▌▏▎█▍▎▌▊▍▏▋▏▎▊▍▎▌▌▎▎▊▍▌▌▏▍▌▏▍▋▎▌▎▍▋▏▎▊▍▌▌▎▍▌▌▎█▌▎▍▍▋▏▏▉▋▍▎▌▏▊▍▎▋▋▍▎▊▌▎▍▋▎▌▍▌▏▊▋▌▎▋▊▋▎▍█▍▏▌▍▏█▎▏▏▋█▋▏▌▊▍▎▏▋▋▍▏▊▎▏▏▋▎▏▊▍▎▋▎▋▏▍▊▎▍▌▊▍▋▎▏▊▏▋▏▏▌▏▉▎▋▏▎▉▏▎▋▎▍▊▎▏▋▋▎▌▏▏▌▎▌▍▋▍▊▋▏▏▊▎▏▌▍▎▌▎▋▍▎▋▏▌▋▏▏▌▍▍▊▎▎▌▌▏▊▏▋▍▋▏▍▋▍▌▍▎▎▊▌▍▋▎▍▌▎▎▌▊▎▋▎▏▎▌▏▎▋▍▍▌▏▋▎▌▋█▍▎▌▏▏▌▉▌▎▋▌▎▉▏▍▋▍▏▌▏▍▊▌▏▎▊▍▍▍█▏▏▌▏▏█▏▎▋▎▏▌▏▍▌▉▏▎▏▉▏▎▋▍▏▊▏▎▌▏▍▌▏▏▌▎▍█▎▏▋▎▏▌▏▎▋▏▎▌▍▍▌▏▎▌▍▍█▍▏▎▍▌▎▍▌▍▍█▏▎▌▏▎█▍▎▌▊▍▏▋▏▎▊▍▎▌▌▎▎▊▍▌▌▏▍▌▏▍▋▎▌▎▍▋▏▎▊▍▌▌▎▍▌▌▎█▌▎▍▍▋▏▏▉▋▍▎▌▏▊▍▎▋▋▍▎▊▌▎▍▋▎▌▍▌▏▊▋▌▎▋▊▋▎▍█▍▏▌▍▏█▎▏▏▋█▋▏▌▊▍▎▏▋▋▍▏▊▎▏▏▋▎▏▊▍▎▋▎▋▏▍▊▎▍▌▊▍▋▎▏▊▏▋▏▏▌▏▉▎▋▏▎▉▏▎▋▎▍▊▎▏▋▋▎▌▏▏▌▎▌▍▋▍▊▋▏▏▊▎▏▌▍▎▌▎▋▍▎▋▏▌▋▏▏▌▍▍▊▎▎▌▌▏▊▏▋▍▋▏▍▋▍▌▍

The AI Economy

Which AI challenger grows subscribers fastest in August?

Suno Inc.36.5¢

ElevenLabs22.1¢

Lovable22.1¢

Perplexity19.3¢

Early Pool · 32%$16/$50

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Fearless Flyer

Is Trader Joe's outgrowing Big Grocery in August?

Big Grocery

61.3¢

Trader Joe's

38.7¢

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Chairman of the Boards

Will IKEA or Wayfair grow customers faster in August?

IKEA

58.5¢

Wayfair

41.5¢

Early Pool · 14%$7/$50

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Refill Nation

Will Pharmacy sales grow in August?

Yes

53.4¢

No

46.6¢

Early Pool · 10%$5/$50

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Dorm Room Rush

Will Target or Walmart grow customers faster this week?

Target

79.4¢

Walmart

20.6¢

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First Sip of Fall

Will Starbucks beat last year's pumpkin spice launch week?

No

70.8¢

Yes

29.2¢

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Down, Set, Ranch?

Will Wings or Pizza grow transactions faster this week?

Fast Pizza

68.2¢

Fast Wings

31.8¢

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The Last Road Trip

Wawa, Buc-ee's, or Sheetz, who grows transactions fastest this week?

Wawa33.3¢

Buc-ee's33.3¢

Sheetz33.3¢

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FORM

Submit a Market

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Counter or Booth

Will McDonald's or Chili's grow customers faster this week?

McDonald's

50¢

Chili's

50¢

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Fil-a Supremacy

Will Chick-fil-A or Fast Food grow customers faster this week?

Chick-fil-A

50¢

Fast Food

50¢

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